Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 agosto 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Aug 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event in the last
24 hours was a C1/Sf event that originated from Region 1271 (N17W42)
at 24/1633Z. This region has shown separation and penumbral decay in
its intermediate spots. A back-sided, partial halo CME was observed
at 24/0027Z. All other numbered regions on the disk showed various
amounts of decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an M-class event from Region
1271 for the next three days (25-27 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next two days (25-26 August). Activity
is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled on day three (27
August) due to a recurring coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 104 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 110/110/115 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 005/005-005/005-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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