Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. A
B7 x-ray event was observed at 25/1628Z from Region 1260 (N20E58).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (25-27 July). Region 1260 is most
likely region for C-class events.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Solar wind
velocities observed at the ACE spacecraft indicated the onset of a
coronal hole high speed stream at about 24/2200Z. Wind speed reached
650 km/s during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to predominately quiet to unsettled with a slight chance
for isolated active conditions on day one (26 July). Day two (27
July) is expected to be predominately quiet. Day three (28 July) is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods, with the expected arrival of a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream late in the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jul 087 Previsto 26 Jul-28 Jul 084/086/086 Media de 90 Días 25 Jul 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 008/010-005/005-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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