Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 junio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jun 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 157 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jun 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1226 (S22W52)
produced a few low-level C-class events. During the past 24 hours,
Region 1227 (S21W35) decayed from a D-type to an H-type spot group.
Region 1232 (N08E07) developed trailer spots to become a C-type from
an H-type spot group. A 12 degree long filament, centered near
N25W34, erupted during the period. SDO/AIA 193 imagery revealed
material movement along a large filament channel, first visible at
06/0441Z, which continued through about 06/0900Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class event all three days (07 - 09
June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field did not vary much
beyond +/- 4 nT. Solar wind velocities, as measured at the ACE
spacecraft, steadily declined through period from about 500 km/s to
near 420 km/s. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous
orbit remained enhanced through the period, reaching a maximum of
4.8 pfu at 06/0405Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet levels for the next three days
(07 - 09 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jun a 09 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jun 100 Previsto 07 Jun-09 Jun 098/096/095 Media de 90 Días 06 Jun 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jun 020/027 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jun a 09 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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