Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 marzo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Mar 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 083 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Mar 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1176 (S16E44)
produced an isolated impulsive M1/1F flare at 24/1207Z associated
with minor radio emission and a partial-halo CME (estimated
plane-of-sky velocity 421 km/s). It also produced occasional B- and
C-class flares during the period. Region 1176 showed a minor
increase in intermediate spots and was classified as an Eki with a
moderately complex beta-gamma magnetic configuration. New Regions
1178 (S13E68) and 1179 (N09W32) were numbered. Both were small and
magnetically simple sunspot groups.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
during the period (25 - 27 March) with a chance for
another M-class flare from Region 1176.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. ACE solar wind data
indicated Earth remained under the influence of a coronal hole
high-speed wind stream. Solar wind velocities were variable in the
419 to 500 km/s range. IMF Bz was northward during most of the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period (25 - 27
March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Mar 108 Previsto 25 Mar-27 Mar 110/115/120 Media de 90 Días 24 Mar 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Mar 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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