Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 febrero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 057 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Feb 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low due to a single C1 x-ray event
from Region 1164 (N28E60) observed at 26/0813Z. The region continues
to rotate onto the disk and is currently classified as a D-type spot
group with a complicated beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region
1163 (N18E46) exhibited little change during the period producing
several moderate to high-level B-class events. New Region 1165
(S22E43) emerged on the disk as a simple bi-polar spot group and was
quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days (27 - 28 February and 01 March).
A chance for M-class activity exists all three days from both
Regions 1163 and 1164.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet levels for days one and two of
the forecast period (27 - 28 February). By day three (01 March),
geomagnetic activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled
levels due to the onset of a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Feb a 01 Mar
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Feb 090 Previsto 27 Feb-01 Mar 092/092/092 Media de 90 Días 26 Feb 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Feb 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Feb 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Feb-01 Mar 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Feb a 01 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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