Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 febrero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 055 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate during the past 24
hours. New Region 1163 (N18E72) produced an M3 x-ray event at
24/0738Z associated with a 180 sfu Tenflare, a Type II radio sweep
(estimated velocity of 1283 km/s) and a Type IV radio sweep. This
region is still rotating onto the visible disk. Region 1161 (N11W87)
and Region 1162 (N17W89) have been quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate for the next three days (25-27 February), with Region
1163 the most likely source for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet during the past 24 hours. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (25-27
February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 089 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 090/088/088 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 007/007-007/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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