Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 enero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 012 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jan 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity remained very low. Region 1140 (N32W87)
and Region 1146 (N24E19) are the only spotted regions on the visible
disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (13 - 15 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels. An isolated
unsettled period was observed at 12/1200Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on day one (13 January).
Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels with a
chance of isolated active levels on days two and three (14 - 15
January) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream becomes
geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jan a 15 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jan 080 Previsto 13 Jan-15 Jan 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 12 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jan 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jan-15 Jan 005/005-007/008-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jan a 15 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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