Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 enero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 010 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jan 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Occasional
low-level B-class flares occurred, most of which were produced by
Region 1140 (N32W61). Region 1140 showed no significant changes
during the period and remained an Hsx-type spot. Region 1145
(N16E27) also showed no significant changes and remained a
simply-structured Bxo-type group. Regions 1142 (S17W88) and 1144
(S16W49) both decayed to plage during the period. New Region 1146
(N23E46), a single spot Axx type, was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period (11 - 13 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind data indicated Earth was in a subsiding coronal hole
high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities gradually decreased from
642 to 487 km/s during the period. IMF Bz was variable and ranged
from +5 nT to -3 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during the period (11 - 13 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jan 083 Previsto 11 Jan-13 Jan 082/080/080 Media de 90 Días 10 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jan 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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