Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 diciembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Dec 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 340 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Dec 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
in the past 24 hours. Region 1132 decayed to spotless plage.
Regions 1131 (N31E15) and Region 1133 (N16E43) were both quiet,
unipolar, alpha type groups. A large filament erupted from the
southeast quadrant of the visible solar disk beginning at
approximately 1535Z. This eruption was seen in SDO imagery and by
ground based observers. The associated CME was observed in the
STEREO ahead COR2 imagery beginning at approximately 1909Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low. There is a slight chance for C-class x-ray events for the
next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. A sector boundary change was
observed at the ACE spacecraft beginning at approximately 1750Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the first two days of the forecast
period (07-08 Dec). A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is
expected to become geoeffective near the end of day 3 (9 December)
bringing a chance for unsettled geomagnetic conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Dec a 09 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Dec 089 Previsto 07 Dec-09 Dec 089/089/087 Media de 90 Días 06 Dec 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Dec 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Dec 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Dec a 09 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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