Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 noviembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Nov 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Nov 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was at high levels. Region 1121 (S18W48)
produced an M5/1N flare at 06/1536Z. Associated with this event were
discrete radio emissions ranging from 4,995 MHz - 15,400 MHz, as
well as a 100 sfu Tenflare observed at 06/1534Z. Region 1121 was
classified as an Eai spot group with a beta magnetic classification.
Region 1120 (N41W13) continued to decay. New Region 1122 (N13W02)
was classified as a Cso spot group with a beta magnetic
classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. M-class flares are expected.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on day one (07 November). Quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active levels at high latitudes, are
expected on days two and three (08-09 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| Clase M | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Nov 089 Previsto 07 Nov-09 Nov 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 06 Nov 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 005/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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