Viendo archivo del martes, 26 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 299 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1117 (N21W15) produced
two C-class flares during the past 24 hours, the largest a C2.5
x-ray event at 25/2212Z. A CME (estimated plane-of-sky velocity 375
km/s) was observed off the southwest limb, first viewed on GOES-15
SXI imagery at approximately 26/0300Z. This CME was likely
associated with a B6.5 x-ray event at 26/0311Z from Region 1115
(S31W75). The CME appeared to be earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominately very low with a chance for C-class events and a slight
chance for an isolated M-class event from Region 1117.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels for the past
24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on days one and two (27 - 28 October).
Quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active periods, are
expected on day three (29 October) in response to the CME observed
on 26 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Oct 086 Previsto 27 Oct-29 Oct 084/084/084 Media de 90 Días 26 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Oct 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Oct 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 007/007-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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