Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 09 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 252 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 1105 (N19W90)
produced a long duration C3 x-ray event at 08/2333Z with an
associated west limb CME. Observations from the SOHO/LASCO C2 and C3
imagery indicates the CME is not earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (10-12 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Solar wind
velocities, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, indicated a solar
wind speed enhancement to around 450 km/s during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on days one and two (10-11
September). Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a slight chance for
an isolated active period, is expected for day three (12 September),
as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Sep a 12 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Sep 074 Previsto 10 Sep-12 Sep 074/075/075 Media de 90 Días 09 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Sep 008/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Sep 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Sep-12 Sep 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Sep a 12 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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