Viendo archivo del martes, 7 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 07 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 1105 (N19W77)
produced a B4/Sf flare on 07/0528Z. An 11 degree filament near
N11E19 disappeared between 07/1359-1439Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class x-ray event on days one and
two (08-09 September). Solar activity is expected to be very low on
day three (10 September) as Region 1105 (N19W77) rotates off the
visible disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. An isolated active
period occurred between 07/0900-1200Z. Solar wind velocity, as
measured at the ACE spacecraft, indicated an increase to
approximately 500 km/s during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled with a slight chance
for isolated active periods during days one and two (08-09
September), due to enhanced solar wind velocity. Day three (10
September) is expected to be quiet as the solar wind speed is
forecast to subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Sep 076 Previsto 08 Sep-10 Sep 076/076/076 Media de 90 Días 07 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 008/008-006/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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