Viendo archivo del sábado, 4 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 04 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 247 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Regions 1105 (N18W36) and
1101 (N12W70) produced several B-class x-ray events during the
period. The largest event, an impulsive B6 flare, occurred at
04/07Z. A filament was observed on SDO AIA 193 lifting from the
north west quadrant at 04/1430Z. A limb event CME was visible in
SOHO LASCO C3 shortly after with an estimated speed of 368 km/s. The
same event was visible on the STEREO-A coronagraph and produced a
partial halo in the southeast quadrant.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to be low
with C-class flares likely for the next 3 days (5-7 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be quiet to unsettled with the chance for active
conditions for the next 3 days (5-7 September) due to recurrent
coronal hole effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Sep a 07 Sep
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Sep 082 Previsto 05 Sep-07 Sep 084/084/082 Media de 90 Días 04 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Sep 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Sep 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Sep-07 Sep 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Sep a 07 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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