Viendo archivo del lunes, 30 agosto 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Aug 30 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1102 (N28W26) produced several low level B-class
events. Region 1101 (N13W06) remained stable and quiet and Region
1102 has grown in areal coverage and sunspot number. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class events
for the next three days (31 August - 02 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (31 August)
due to a coronal hole high speed stream becoming geoeffective.
Mostly quiet levels are expected to return on days two and three (01
September - 02 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Aug 075 Previsto 31 Aug-02 Sep 075/076/076 Media de 90 Días 30 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 000/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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