Viendo archivo del martes, 27 julio 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 27 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 208 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jul 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity increased to low levels. Region 1089 (S23W35) produced a C2 flare at 27/0424Z, as well as occasional B-class flares. Region 1089 continued to gradually decay in spot count and area. Regions 1090 (N22E19) and 1091 (N12W86) decayed to spotless plage regions. No new regions were assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels. However, there will be a chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 1089.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity increased to unsettled to active levels as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed wind stream continued. The activity increase was associated with enhanced interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) intensity (peak 9 nT at 27/0145Z) combined with intermittent periods of southward IMF Bz (maximum deflection -8 nT at 27/0216Z) and increased velocities (peak 641 km/sec at 27/0946Z).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels during days 1 - 2 (28 - 29 July) as the coronal hole high-speed stream gradually subsides. Quiet conditions are expected on day 3 (30 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jul a 30 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Jul 083
  Previsto   28 Jul-30 Jul  082/082/082
  Media de 90 Días        27 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jul  005/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Jul  015/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Jul-30 Jul  008/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jul a 30 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%10%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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