Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 24 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 205 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Isolated low-level B-class
flares were detected. Region 1089 (S23E06) continued to gradually
decay and simplify. New Region 1090 (N23E58), a single-spot A-type
group, was numbered late in the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. However, there is a chance for an isolated C-class flare from
Region 1089.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to (briefly) unsettled
levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (25 - 26
July). Activity is forecast to increase to unsettled to active
levels on day 3 (27 July) due to the expected arrival of a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed wind stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jul 085 Previsto 25 Jul-27 Jul 084/084/082 Media de 90 Días 24 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jul 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 004/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul 007/008-007/008-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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