Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 03 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 184 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
A disappearing filament was observed on EIT near the southwest limb
(S35W65) at 02/2300Z. The SOHO C2 imagery observed a possible CME
associated with this event at 03/0130Z. In addition, an eruption
along a filament channel in the northeast (N35E55) was observed,
along with an EIT wave in the southwest (S40W55). These events
occurred at approximately the same time (03/0830Z) and were also
associated with possible CME events visible on SOHO C2 imagery
around 03/0950Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low throughout the forecast period (04-06 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled as the effects from the
coronal hole high speed stream subsided. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet throughout the forecast period (04-06
July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jul a 06 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jul 072 Previsto 04 Jul-06 Jul 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 03 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jul 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jul a 06 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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