Viendo archivo del martes, 29 junio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 29 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jun 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. A B1 level x-ray
event was observed at 29/0503Z. New Region 1085 (S23W24) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet with an isolated
unsettled period at 29/0900-1200Z. Observations from the ACE
satellite indicates the continuation of a high speed solar wind
stream, with winds speeds at about 540 km/s through out the period.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on days one and two (30 June-01
July) with isolated minor storm levels at high latitudes. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on day three (02 July). The
increase in activity is forecast due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jun 074 Previsto 30 Jun-02 Jul 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 29 Jun 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul 015/015-012/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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