Viendo archivo del viernes, 4 junio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 04 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 155 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jun 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1076 (S19W49) has decayed in white light areal
coverage but remains a beta magnetic classification. No flares were
observed. However, a full-halo CME was observed on LASCO C2 imagery
at 04/1202Z. The CME appears to be a backsided event and is not
expected to become geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a slight chance for C-class events for the next
three days (05-07 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels with an
isolated minor storm period from 0000Z-0300Z for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind data from the ACE spacecraft indicate the continuation of
a high speed solar wind stream with wind speeds around 550 km/s. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled levels with a chance for an isolated
active period for the first day (05 June) due to persistence and the
forecasted arrival of the CME observed on 31 May. Mostly quiet
conditions are expected on the second day (06 June). Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected with a chance for active periods
on the third day (07 June) due to a coronal hole high-speed stream
moving into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jun 072 Previsto 05 Jun-07 Jun 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 04 Jun 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 013/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 010/010-005/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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