Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 27 2221 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. No flares were
observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately unsettled to active with a chance for
minor storm levels on day 1 (28 May). Unsettled to active levels are
expected on day 2 (29 May). Activity on days one and two is forecast
due to the expected arrival of the two CMEs observed on 23 and 24
May. Unsettled to active, with a chance for minor storm levels, is
expected on day three (30 May) as a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream becomes geo-effective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 May a 30 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 May 072 Previsto 28 May-30 May 073/073/075 Media de 90 Días 27 May 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 May 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 May 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 May-30 May 020/020-018/020-020/022
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 May a 30 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 55% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 45% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 10% |
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