Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 24 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 144 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The STEREO and SOHO/LASCO
imagery observed a CME today originating from the filament channel
located around N15W32. This event was first observed on the C2
imagery around 24/1406Z. The latest analysis indicated its
signature as a partial halo CME. A long duration B1 flare at
24/1446Z was also associated with this event. Region 1072 (S15W22)
has decreased slightly in white light areal coverage and sunspot
count and is a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1072.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the first two days (25-26
May). Unsettled to active conditions, with isolated minor storm
levels, are expected on day three (27 May). This increase is
expected due to the CME activity of 23-24 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 May a 27 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 May 073 Previsto 25 May-27 May 076/076/078 Media de 90 Días 24 May 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 May 000/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 May 001/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 005/005-005/005-015/017
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 May a 27 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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