Viendo archivo del sábado, 21 noviembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Nov 21 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 325 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1033 (N18E07)
remains a Bxo-beta region. No significant flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The SOHO/C2 images observed a slow moving
(around 200 km/s) Earth directed CME at 21/0755Z. EIT images also
showed a wave pattern, associated with the CME, located in the
vicinity of a filament channel around S40E30.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Observations from the
ACE spacecraft indicate the continued influence of a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed rose through the
period from 430 -575 km/s with Bz fluctuations from -8 to +9 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (22-24
November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Nov 076 Previsto 22 Nov-24 Nov 078/078/078 Media de 90 Días 21 Nov 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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