Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 septiembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Sep 21 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Sep 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. There was one B-class
event during the past 24 hours; a B1 x-ray event at 1256Z from newly
numbered Region 1026 (S29E63). The current proximity of the region
to the limb prevented detailed analysis. The remainder of the disk
was quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. A slow increase in background levels is expected as Region 1026
rotates more fully into view. There is a chance for additional
isolated B-class events from Region 1026.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (22 September).
Predominantly quiet levels are expected for the second and third
days (23-24 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Sep 072 Previsto 22 Sep-24 Sep 074/076/077 Media de 90 Días 21 Sep 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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