Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 agosto 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Aug 06 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind observations
from the ACE spacecraft indicated the onset of a high-speed stream
from a recurrent coronal hole. Velocities increased from around 380
km/s to 520 km/s with +/- 13 nT fluctuations in the IMF Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods for day one (07 August) as the recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream remains geoeffective. Quiet conditions are
expected on day two (08 August). Quiet to unsettled conditions with
a slight chance for isolated active periods are expected for day
three (09 August) due to the next recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Aug 067 Previsto 07 Aug-09 Aug 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 06 Aug 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 011/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 007/007-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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