Viendo archivo del sábado, 11 abril 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Apr 11 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Apr 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. The solar disk continues to be void of sunspots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled, with an isolated active period from 0000-0300Z. Solar wind velocity remained elevated during the past 24 hours, ranging between 500-560 km/s. The solar wind signatures are consistent with the continuation of a high speed stream from a coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet with a chance for unsettled levels and a slight chance for an isolated active period on the first day (12 April) due to the continued presence of elevated solar wind velocities. Activity levels are expected to be quiet for the second and third days (13-14 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Apr a 14 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Apr 069
  Previsto   12 Apr-14 Apr  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        11 Apr 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Apr  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Apr  007/009
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr  007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Apr a 14 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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