Viendo archivo del miércoles, 5 noviembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Nov 05 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Nov 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was very low. An isolated low-level
B-class flare occurred. Region 1007 (N35W72) continued to gradually
decay as it approached the west limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high during most of
the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (06 November). Activity is
expected to increase to active to major storm levels on day 2 (07
November) due to a recurrent hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to unsettled to active levels on day 3 (08
November) as coronal hole effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Nov a 08 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Nov 068 Previsto 06 Nov-08 Nov 068/069/070 Media de 90 Días 05 Nov 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Nov 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov 005/005-020/030-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Nov a 08 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 50% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 20% | 05% |
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