Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 mayo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 05 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 126 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 May 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 993 (S31E14)
remains a simple bipolar sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominately at quiet to unsettled levels.
An isolated active period was observed at middle latitudes between
1500-1800Z. Solar wind velocities, as measured at the ACE
satellite, remain elevated at about 625 km/s. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for
isolated active periods on days 1 and 2 (06 and 07 May) due to the
high speed stream. By day 3 (08 May), geomagnetic conditions are
expected to be mostly quiet as the high speed stream abates.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 May a 08 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 May ??? Previsto 06 May-08 May 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 05 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 May 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 May 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 May-08 May 008/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 May a 08 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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