Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 abril 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 110 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Apr 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 991 (S09E29)
was numbered today and has a Bxo-beta configuration spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low. There is a slight chance of an isolated C-class event
from Region 991.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day one (20 April). A recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream begins to become geoeffective on day
two (21 April) with unsettled conditions expected. Unsettled to
active levels, with a chance for minor to major storms at high
latitudes, are anticipated by day three (22 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Apr a 22 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Apr 071 Previsto 20 Apr-22 Apr 075/075/080 Media de 90 Días 19 Apr 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Apr 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Apr 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 005/005-008/012-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Apr a 22 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
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