Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 abril 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 06 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 097 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Apr 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant flares
were observed during the past 24 hours. Region 989 (S11W80) remains
spotless. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels due to
the influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
wind speeds at the ACE spacecraft ranged from 526 km/sec to a peak
of 763 km/sec at 06/0858Z. Bz reached a minimum of -5.3 nT at
05/2257Z. The greater than 2MeV electron flux reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active with isolated minor storm
periods at high latitudes on day one (07 April), due to the
continued effects from the high speed stream. Conditions are
expected to become mostly quiet to unsettled, with isolated active
periods, on days two and three (08-09 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Apr 069 Previsto 07 Apr-09 Apr 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 06 Apr 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Apr 009/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 013/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 010/015-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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