Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 abril 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 03 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 094 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Apr 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Spotless plage Region 989
(S11W41) produced two low-level C-class flares early in the period.
No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a fair chance for an isolated C-class flare
from plage Region 989.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (04 April) with
active periods at high latitudes as a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream becomes geoeffective. Activity is expected to
increase to active levels on days 2 - 3 (05 - 06 April) with minor
to major storm periods at high latitudes as the high-speed stream
continues.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Apr 076 Previsto 04 Apr-06 Apr 075/070/070 Media de 90 Días 03 Apr 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Apr 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr 007/010-015/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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