Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 marzo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 29 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 089 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Mar 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions
on the disk, 987 (S06W31), 988 (S08W06), and 989 (S12E23) were all
generally stable and quiet during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a chance, however, for an isolated C-class event
during the next three days (30 March - 01 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed as
measured at ACE showed a downward trend during the period which is
indicative of the decline of the high speed solar wind stream;
day-end values were around 550 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached very high levels during the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (30 March) and
is expected to be predominantly quiet for the second and third days
(31 March - 01 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Mar a 01 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Mar 083 Previsto 30 Mar-01 Apr 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 29 Mar 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Mar 013/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Mar 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr 008/010-005/005-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Mar a 01 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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