Viendo archivo del miércoles, 5 marzo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 05 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 065 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Mar 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. The
filament eruption observed from near S22W20 at around 04/1200Z had
an associated faint, slow CME observed on coronagraph imagery. The
CME is not expected to be geoeffective. New Region 984 (SO5W69)
emerged today as a small BXO sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Periods of southward Bz
produced the weak disturbed conditions. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today. The electron flux was elevated above the alert threshold
since 29 Feb, but dropped below the threshold late this period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm conditions over the next
three days. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail on
6 and 7 March. A large, recurring coronal hole high speed stream
will rotate into a geoeffective position on 8 Mar and produce
periods of active to minor storm conditions at all latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Mar 069 Previsto 06 Mar-08 Mar 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 05 Mar 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Mar 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 005/005-005/005-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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