Viendo archivo del viernes, 15 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 15 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 046 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless. A slow-moving CME, apparently from the backside,
was observed on the east limb at approximately 15/0530Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominately quiet to unsettled due to a
geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed
remains in excess of 600 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the possibility of isolated
active periods for 16 February. The geomagnetic field is expected
to abate to quiet for 17 - 18 February as the coronal hole high
speed stream rotates from its geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Feb a 18 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Feb 070 Previsto 16 Feb-18 Feb 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 15 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Feb 010/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Feb 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Feb-18 Feb 008/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Feb a 18 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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