Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 044 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels, due to continued
effects from a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at
the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of approximately 690 km/s at
13/1110Z. By the end of the summary period wind speed had declined
to around 620 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly unsettled levels, with possible isolated
active conditions on all three days (14 - 16 February), due to
continued influence from the coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Feb a 16 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Feb 071 Previsto 14 Feb-16 Feb 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 13 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 006/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Feb 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Feb-16 Feb 010/012-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Feb a 16 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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