Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 013 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active. The high speed stream
that began yesterday was briefly interrupted during this period.
The solar wind at ACE reached approximately 590 km/s at 2300Z
yesterday before declining to 450 km/s from 0800Z until 1400Z. This
slack period was accompanied by increased density and decreased
temperature. At 1400Z, these trends all reversed and the wind speed
leveled off at approximately 550 km/s by 1600Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active at mid latitudes with a chance
for minor storm periods at high latitudes. Data from STEREO-Behind
suggest a continued increase in solar wind speed through day 2 (15
Jan) reflecting the continued influence of the coronal hole high
speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jan 075 Previsto 14 Jan-16 Jan 075/070/070 Media de 90 Días 13 Jan 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan 004/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 014/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 012/015-012/015-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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