Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 07 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 007 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 980 (S06W03) produced a
C1 x-ray flare today at 1527Z. The group appears to be re-emerging
but is still small and simple. An eruptive event was observed near
plage Region 981 (N27W17) at about 0230Z and was associated with a
B1 x-ray event as well as a small CME observed by the COR2
coronagraph on the STEREO-B spacecraft.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (08-10 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly unsettled to active during
the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed remained elevated throughout the
day due to the continuing influence of a high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods for the first day (08 January). Conditions are expected to
decline to quiet to unsettled for the second day (09 January) and
are expected to be quiet for the third day (10 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jan 078 Previsto 08 Jan-10 Jan 080/080/075 Media de 90 Días 07 Jan 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 012/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jan 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan 010/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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