Viendo archivo del sábado, 5 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 05 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 005 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. Region 981 (N29E14) is currently the only
spotted region on the disk but is quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was initially quiet but after 0600Z became
predominantly unsettled to active with isolated minor storming in
some locations. Real-time solar wind observations showed a marked
increase in velocity, magnetic field and temperature at about
04/2330Z, and then again at 05/0600Z. The signatures are most
consistent with a high-speed stream from a coronal hole, although
there may have been some complicating influence from the interaction
of recent transient activity with the stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active for the next two days
(06-07 January) due to ongoing persistence from the high speed
stream. Activity is expected to subside somewhat on the third day
(08 January) as the stream should be declining at that time.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jan a 08 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jan 080 Previsto 06 Jan-08 Jan 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 05 Jan 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jan 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jan 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan 012/015-012/015-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jan a 08 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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