Viendo archivo del miércoles, 2 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 002 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 980 (S08E58) produced a
long duration C1 flare at 02/1000Z. An associated CME was observed
on LASCO C3 imagery at 02/1006Z. This region is currently
classified as a CSO beta sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There remains a slight chance for an isolated M-class
event from Region 980.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods at
high latitudes for the forecast period (3-5 January). Elevated
activity is forecast due to possible effects from transients
associated with the recent C-class flares.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jan 080 Previsto 03 Jan-05 Jan 085/087/090 Media de 90 Días 02 Jan 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 006/008-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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