Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 diciembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Dec 12 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 346 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Dec 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 978 (S06W12)
has produced several low level B-class flares. The region is mostly
unchanged and remains a magnetic beta-gamma configuration. A
northern plage region with reverse polarity characteristics,
according to GONG magnetograms, is the only other solar feature of
note.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 978 remains capable of producing an isolated
C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period from 12/0900-1200Z at mid-latitudes. ACE solar wind
measurements indicate the continued influence of the recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for 13-15 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Dec a 15 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Dec 094 Previsto 13 Dec-15 Dec 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 12 Dec 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Dec 009/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Dec 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Dec-15 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Dec a 15 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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