Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 noviembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Nov 24 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Nov 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 975 (N02W15)
was numbered today. This Beta-type sunspot group has displayed
significant plage fluctuations throughout the region center.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active conditions. The solar wind
data observed at the ACE spacecraft indicates the continued
influence of the coronal hole high speed stream. The solar wind
speed has increased to around 645 km/s with Bz fluctuations between
+/- 5 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions on
25-26 November. Predominantly quiet levels are expected on 27
November as the coronal hole rotates out of geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Nov 071 Previsto 25 Nov-27 Nov 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 24 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 008/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Nov 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov 010/015-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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