Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 noviembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Nov 19 2211 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 323 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Nov 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. A co-rotating interaction
region was seen at the ACE spacecraft at 19/1715Z elevating solar
wind speeds to approximately 420 km/s. A sudden impulse (11nT) was
detected at the Boulder magnetometer at 19/1811Z. At the end of the
forecast period wind speed was approximately 440 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active levels. On day one (20
November), expect mostly quiet to unsettled levels. On days two and
three (21 to 22 November), conditions are expected to increase to
unsettled to active levels, due to a coronal hole high speed stream
moving into a geoeffective position. Isolated minor storm levels at
middle latitudes, and major storm periods at high latitudes are also
possible on 21 and 22 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Nov a 22 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Nov 070 Previsto 20 Nov-22 Nov 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 19 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Nov 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Nov 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov 010/010-015/020-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Nov a 22 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 15% |
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