Viendo archivo del lunes, 4 junio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jun 04 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 155 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jun 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was at high levels. Region 960 (S08E38)
produced an M8.9/3b flare at 04/0513 UTC with an associated 130 sfu
Tenflare. There is some decay in area of the central and trailing
spots of this region, however it remains a complex beta gamma delta
magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at moderate to high levels with a chance for an X-flare from Region
960.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period observed at the Boulder magnetometer between 04/1500 UTC and
04/1800 UTC. Solar wind speed at ACE is currently elevated around
500 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Based on the potential for
significant flare activity from Region 960, there is a slight chance
for a greater than 10 MeV proton event.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jun 086 Previsto 05 Jun-07 Jun 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 04 Jun 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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