Viendo archivo del jueves, 31 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 31 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 151 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 958
(S13E35) continues to decay. A C1 x-ray flare occurred at 31/1253Z,
and appeared to have come from a source region just beyond the east
limb. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels on 01 and 02 June. A
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become
geoeffective on 03 June. Active conditions are possible with the
onset of the coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jun a 03 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 May 075 Previsto 01 Jun-03 Jun 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 31 May 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 May 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 May 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jun-03 Jun 003/005-003/005-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jun a 03 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
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