Viendo archivo del viernes, 9 febrero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Feb 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 040 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Feb 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels. Old Region 940
(S05,L=043) produced a C1 x-ray flare at 08/2246Z. LASCO imagery
observed a CME shortly after the event which appeared to have a
western trajectory and is most likely not Earth directed. Region
941 (S07W75) was stable and underwent little change during the
period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 10 February. Late on 11
February, a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to
become geoeffective with periods of active to minor storm levels
possible. Predominantly unsettled to active conditions are expected
on 12 February due to the coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Feb 077 Previsto 10 Feb-12 Feb 077/076/074 Media de 90 Días 09 Feb 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Feb 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb 005/005-012/015-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 15% |
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