Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 enero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 26 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 026 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jan 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. New Region 940 (S06E77)
rotated onto the visible disk today. This region produced a C3
flare at 25/2143Z, as well as a long duration B3 flare at 26/0951Z.
Region 940 is currently classified as an Hax Alpha sunspot group,
since only one spot is currently visible on the solar disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 940 is capable of producing M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active for the next three days.
Isolated periods of minor storming are possible at high latitudes on
29 January, as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective
position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jan a 29 Jan
| Clase M | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jan 080 Previsto 27 Jan-29 Jan 085/090/090 Media de 90 Días 26 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jan 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan 005/010-008/010-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jan a 29 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
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