Viendo archivo del lunes, 1 enero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 01 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 001 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jan 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Today's activity
consisted of a few low level B-class flares from Region 933
(S05E52), which retains its magnetic beta spot group classification.
Region 934 (N03E51) was numbered yesterday and is classified as a
magnetic alpha spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions. The
solar wind speed at ACE is currently elevated at approximately 470
km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from unsettled to minor storm conditions for the
next three days (02-04 January) due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream. Isolated periods of major storm conditions are
possible at high latitudes on 02 and 03 January.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jan a 04 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jan 087 Previsto 02 Jan-04 Jan 090/095/095 Media de 90 Días 01 Jan 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Dec 001/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 008/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jan-04 Jan 015/025-015/025-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jan a 04 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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