Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 diciembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Dec 25 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 359 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Dec 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Regions 931 (S08E55)
and 932 (S07E35) were numbered today. Region 932 was responsible for
several low level B-flares since its emergence. This region is
classified as a beta magnetic group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare from Region 932.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 26 December. On 27 December,
unsettled to active conditions are expected. Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected to return by 28 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Dec a 28 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Dec 076 Previsto 26 Dec-28 Dec 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 25 Dec 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Dec-28 Dec 005/005-012/015-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Dec a 28 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 01% |
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