Viendo archivo del sábado, 25 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 25 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Newly numbered
Region 926 (S08E71) is a magnetic Hkx alpha sunspot group that
rotated onto the visible disk during the period (old Region 921 S07
L=140). Several B-class flares were produced by this region earlier
in the period. Region 926 remains too close to the limb to
determine if a magnetic gamma structure exists.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels. Region 926 has the potential to produce
isolated C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was ranged from quiet to minor storm levels
with a brief period of major storming at the higher latitudes
between 25/1200 and 1500Z. The elevated conditions are due to a
favorably positioned coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to isolated active levels on 26
November. Predominantly quiet levels are expected for the remainder
of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Nov a 28 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Nov 079 Previsto 26 Nov-28 Nov 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 25 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Nov 010/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Nov 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov 008/015-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Nov a 28 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
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