Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 306 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 922 (S14E31), the lesser
of the two active regions in the southeast, produced an impulsive C1
X-ray flare at 0423 UTC. The region grew during the day, as did its
nearby neighbor Region 921 (S06E16). Region 921 is a moderate sized
group of approximately 370 millionths, showing a substantial field
of bright plage. Frequent Type 3 radio bursts occurred throughout
the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is an increasing probability of an isolated M-class event
pending further development in Regions 921 and 922.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Activity increased
slightly with the very pronounced crossing of a sector boundary
midway though the day. The energetic electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels once again.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled through the end of the interval.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Nov a 05 Nov
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Nov 088 Previsto 03 Nov-05 Nov 090/095/095 Media de 90 Días 02 Nov 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Nov 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Nov 007/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Nov a 05 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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